PRP Poll Shows Improved Numbers for Rail, Carlisle

A pro-rail construction group has new poll results it says show growing support for the project and waning support for anti-rail mayoral candidate Ben Cayetano.

Pacific Resource Partnership released the poll results today.

Likely voters were asked “Now as you may know, a few years ago voters approved the Honolulu Rail Transit project connecting East Kapolei with Ala Moana Center in Honolulu. Do you currently support or oppose this project?”

In May 2011, 44 percent supported and 54 percent opposed. In January 2012, it narrowed to 44-52. This month, it’s 46-49.

Voters were also asked about their choice for mayor. In January, Cayetano led with 38 percent versus 29 percent for Peter Carlisle and 18 percent for Kirk Caldwell. This month, the gap narrowed to 33-30-21, a statistical dead heat. (In March, The Civil Beat Poll pegged the race at 53 percent for Cayetano, 21 percent for Carlisle and 17 percent for Caldwell.)

It’s probably wise to take the results with a grain of salt, considering the source.  I’ve already asked to see the full questionnaires from the three polls, and will try to talk to PRP chief John White today. Meantime, here’s the full memo, produced by Tulchin Research for PRP:

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